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	<title>Education Futures &#187; Innovation</title>
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	<link>http://www.educationfutures.com</link>
	<description>Exploring a New Paradigm in human capital development, driven by accelerating change.</description>
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		<title>Leadership and Entrepreneurship: &#8220;Knowmads challenge all structures&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2012/01/09/leadership-and-entrepreneurship-knowmads-challenge-all-structures/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2012/01/09/leadership-and-entrepreneurship-knowmads-challenge-all-structures/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jan 2012 14:16:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Moravec</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Interviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[creativity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[knowledge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Knowmad Society]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[knowmads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mindware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Society 3.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[success]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.educationfutures.com/?p=3101</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[De Baak&#8216;s Ralph Blom wrote up a short interview with me for last month&#8217;s issue of Leadership and Entrepreneurship. My favorite bit: What skills are needed in a society 3.0? “Because everybody is in it together it is not bounded by a specific generation. Nobody has done this before, there are no role models. We [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/leadership-and-entrepreneurship-1024x819.jpg" alt="" title="Leadership and Entrepreneurship" width="526" height="420" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-3102" /></p>
<p><a href="http://www.debaak.nl">De Baak</a>&#8216;s <a href="http://nl.linkedin.com/in/ralphblinkedin">Ralph Blom</a> wrote up a <a href="http://www.debaak.com/artikelen/in%20gesprek%20met/ralph">short interview with me</a> for last month&#8217;s issue of <em>Leadership and Entrepreneurship</em>.</p>
<p>My favorite bit:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>What skills are needed in a society 3.0?</strong></p>
<p>“Because everybody is in it together it is not bounded by a specific generation. Nobody has done this before, there are no role models. We all have to co-create this together. Knowmads are highly engaged, creative, innovative, collaborative and highly motivated. They adapt fast in new situations and contextualize ideas due to situations. So schools need to find out how we can learn skills in motivation, creative orientation, being friendly, and an ungoing mindset on always keep up with technologies. All of us have to learn to share without geographical limitation. We have to create global footprints, go beyond the small communities and learn how to engage people all over the world in open and flat knowledge networks. A big cultural mindshift is needed, we have to start thinking that learning is everywhere, always and naturally. It is quit normal that even the biggest leader says: “Can you help me learn that?”. The most successful entrepreneurs do it all the time: “I don’t know how to do this. I have this idea. I want to get it to the next level. Can you help figure this out?” Innovation will not come from software and new technologies. It’s about mindware. That is our imagination, our creativity.” </p>
</blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.debaak.com/artikelen/in%20gesprek%20met/ralph"><strong>Read the full interview on De Baak&#8217;s website.</strong></a></p>
<p align="right"><a class="tt" href="http://twitter.com/home/?status=Leadership+and+Entrepreneurship%3A+%E2%80%9CKnowmads+challenge+all+structures%E2%80%9D+http://futr.es/vg" title="Post to Twitter"><img class="nothumb" src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/plugins/tweet-this/icons/tt-twitter-micro3.png" alt="Post to Twitter" /></a> <a class="tt" href="http://www.facebook.com/share.php?u=http://www.educationfutures.com/2012/01/09/leadership-and-entrepreneurship-knowmads-challenge-all-structures/&amp;t=Leadership+and+Entrepreneurship%3A+%E2%80%9CKnowmads+challenge+all+structures%E2%80%9D" title="Post to Facebook"><img class="nothumb" src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/plugins/tweet-this/icons/tt-facebook-micro3.png" alt="Post to Facebook" /></a></p>
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		<title>Last week in brief: BIG things brewing</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/11/13/last-week-in-brief/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/11/13/last-week-in-brief/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Nov 2011 21:37:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Moravec</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[21st century]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[creative learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[futures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[human capital development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Invisible Learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Moravec]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Knowmad Society]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[knowmads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Netherlands]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[photos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[presentation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slides]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Society 3.0]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.educationfutures.com/?p=3010</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A lot has happened in the past week, and I feel that bits and pieces are coming together to form a huge break from the mainstream in human capital development in the Netherlands. In brief: On Monday, I visited TEDxDelft at TU Delft. The day was very well organized and included a selection of talks [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A lot has happened in the past week, and I feel that bits and pieces are coming together to form a huge break from the mainstream in human capital development in the Netherlands. In brief:</p>
<p><em>On Monday</em>, I visited <a href="http://www.tedxdelft.com/">TEDxDelft</a> at <a href="http://tudelft.nl/">TU Delft</a>.  The day was very well organized and included a selection of talks from a book maker, an astronaut, constructors of a high tech opera, a parkour exhibition, and a talk by <a href="http://www.kampman.nl/">Marcel Kampman</a> on how to close what he calls the <a href="http://www.kampman.nl/projects/2011/02/the-dream-gap/">Dream Gap</a>.  Marcel provides 9 ideas to tackle the issue, including re-organizing TED so that it it focuses on T-shaped approaches to EDucation (hence, T-ED), that work to connect people-to-people in knowledge creation and sharing. Smart idea.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/0168.jpg" alt="" title="Marcel Kampman" width="600" height="400" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3011" /></p>
<p>During the lunch break, Marcel and I also got together and recorded videos for each others projects.  Here&#8217;s what I had to say for the <a href="http://www.projectdroomschool.org/">Dream School</a> initiative he&#8217;s playing a major role with for <a href="http://www.stadenesch.nl/">Stad &#038; Esch</a>:</p>
<p><iframe src="http://player.vimeo.com/video/31868734?title=0&amp;byline=0&amp;portrait=0&amp;color=ffffff" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" webkitAllowFullScreen allowFullScreen></iframe></p>
<p><a href="http://vimeo.com/31868734">Stad &#038; Esch &#038; Onderwijs &#038; John Moravec</a> from <a href="http://vimeo.com/stadenesch">Stad &amp; Esch</a> on <a href="http://vimeo.com">Vimeo</a>.</p>
<p>(I&#8217;ll post my video interview with Marcel in a future post, which will include his TEDxDelft talk, as soon as it becomes available.)</p>
<p><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/6800_naamunic.jpg" alt="" title="UniC Utrecht" width="375" height="281" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3014" /></p>
<p><em>On Tuesday</em>, I visited the <a href="http://www.unic-utrecht.nl/">UniC school in Utrecht</a>, which flips the use of technology in the classroom around to allow students to engage in learning activities that enable them to follow their own passions and interests.  They bring in their own laptops or tablet devices, and spend their time on individual and team learning projects that are guided by faculty that do more to attend to their learning rather than trying to manage it.  <a href="http://ictgeschiedenis.blogspot.com/">Jelmer Evers</a> showed me around, and explained that because higher level students are required to take a standardized learning exam, they must unlearn everything the school has taught them so that they can complete the tests in an industrialized manner.  <a href="http://ictgeschiedenis.blogspot.com/">Jelmer writes</a> about this difficult situation on his blog, and fears an <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_Child_Left_Behind_Act">NCLB</a>-like nightmare in the Netherlands may be emerging:</p>
<blockquote><p>So far so good. If it was up to a lot of teachers and students, learning would take place more outside of the school as well. But reality is different of course. That&#8217;s where the inspection comes in. The education inspection is an organization which visits schools. In general it sees to good educational practice and particulary it audits &#8220;weak&#8221; schools which produce bad grades, most notably exam results. We&#8217;re a new school and those results are continuously <a href="http://www.unic-utrecht.nl/voor-ouders/resultaten-en-schoolinspectie_13.html">improving</a>. So in the end I think we&#8217;ll do fine (and our students better in the ways that count as well). The thing is, a lot of the skills that we focus on aren&#8217;t captured in the official results and a lot of people are scrutinizing us to see if we will be able to produce these results. We had a real nice discussion with the inspectors of course and they were very generous, but in the end it is the &#8220;result&#8221; that matters. In fact there is an ever increasing focus on results and testing, like in the United States.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/118024094960207574789/ThemasessiesDerdeNationaleDagVanDeZelforganisatie?feat=flashslideshow#5673733573402148130"><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Screen-Shot-2011-11-13-at-1.48.37-PM.png" alt="" title="John Moravec at National Self-Organization Day by Simone Haenen" width="698" height="458" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3017" /></a></p>
<p><em>Wednesday</em> centered on a collaborative workshop at the <a href="http://www.z11org.nl/zelf/pages/showPage.do?instanceid=4&#038;itemid=520&#038;style=home">Third National Self-Organization Day</a>, organized by Stichting Zelforganisatie in Rotterdam, with <a href="https://twitter.com/#!/edwin3punt0">Edwin de Bree</a> and three students from the <a href="http://sudbury.nl/">Sudbury education schools in the Netherlands</a>.  I spoke about <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com/">Invisible Learning</a>, and Edwin moderated a panel discussion and &#8220;speed dating&#8221;/Q&#038;A session between the students and the workshop participants.  Later in the day, <a href="http://www.ronaldvandenhoff.nl/">Ronald van den Hoff</a> gave a talk on <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/rvandenhoffcdefholding.nl/self-organization-society30">his vision of Society 3.0</a>. One interesting projection I took with me: He projects that 45% of the workforce will be comprised of <a href="http://www.educationfutures.com/2008/11/20/knowmads-in-society-30/">knowmads</a> or engaged in knowmad-like work.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jmoravec/6332371155/"><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Screen-Shot-2011-11-13-at-2.04.33-PM.png" alt="" title="MEAT with John Moravec" width="668" height="388" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3021" /></a></p>
<p><em>On Thursday</em>, my journey continued with a visit to the <a href="http://www.nhl.nl/">NHL Hogeschool</a> in Leeuwarden for a day-long workshop on <a href="http://www.knowmadsociety.com/">Knowmad Society</a> and <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com">Invisible Learning</a>, entitled &#8220;<a href="http://www.nhl.nl/nhl/6953/over-de-nhl/proudly-presenting-john-moravec-at.html">MEAT with John Moravec</a>.&#8221;  The group of faculty and students at NHL, lead by Jooske Haije, was a lot of fun to work with, not only because they are working to implement ideas from Invisible Learning and Knowmad Society into their own institution, but also because the group were excited to remix and share new ideas.  I was delightfully surprised to find that they had made <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jmoravec/6332371155/">morning snacks</a> out of the <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com/img/IL_cover-old.png">brain imagery</a> that <a href="http://ergonomic.wordpress.com/">Cristóbal Cobo</a> and I originally intended to use for the cover of our <em>Invisible Learning</em> book. The faculty are fired-up on making invisible learning visible, and I look forward to hearing about they will present from the workshop to an assembly celebrating the school&#8217;s 40th anniversary later this month.</p>
<p>Later, in the afternoon, I joined the <a href="http://www.otavanopisto.fi/">Otava Folk High School</a> in Finland for a talk on Invisible Learning via Adobe Connect:</p>
<div align="center">
<div style="width:425px" id="__ss_10129952"> <strong style="display:block;margin:12px 0 4px"><a href="http://www.slideshare.net/otavanopisto/moravec" title="Invisible learning (engl.), John Moravec" target="_blank">Invisible learning (engl.), John Moravec</a></strong> <iframe src="http://www.slideshare.net/slideshow/embed_code/10129952" width="425" height="355" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no"></iframe></div>
</div>
<p><em>On Friday</em>, we began to bring all these pieces together.  Ronald van den Hoff hosted a <a href="http://www.mindz.com/events/Ronde_Tafel_Onderwijs">round table on education in Society 3.0</a> at <a href="http://www.seats2meet.com/">Seats2Meet</a> in Utrecht.  In the world of educational innovation, with various stakeholders and initiatives largely operating independent of each other, we recognized a need to better connect and integrate the work and thinking of all key players &#8212; including students.  With interim futuring activities to keep us thinking and acting, our group will again meet in January and March to plot next steps.  Already, Ronald has pledged in-kind support from <a href="http://www.seats2meet.com/about">Seats2Meet International</a> to support the initiative, coordinated by <a href="http://www.mindz.com/profiles/Annemarije">Annemarije Bakker</a>, so I am quite optimistic about what we may accomplish in the coming months.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jmoravec/6341116517/"><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/waag.png" alt="" title="The Waag at night" width="620" height="360" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3028" /></a></p>
<p>During the second half of the day, I traveled to Amsterdam with <a href="http://www.thieubesselink.com/">Thieu Besselink</a> for a quick visit to the <a href="http://www.waag.nl/">Waag Society</a> and the <a href="http://www.waag.nl/programma/creativelearninglab">Creative Learning Lab</a>, where they have recently released a book entitled <a href="http://opendesignnow.org/">Open Design Now: Why design cannot remain exclusive</a>. As they describe it, the book:</p>
<blockquote><p>surveys this emerging field for the first time. Insiders including John Thackara, Droog Design’s Renny Ramakers and Bre Pettis look at what’s driving open design and where it’s going. They examine new business models and issues of copyright, sustainability and social critique. Case studies show how projects ranging from the RepRap self-replicating 3D-printer to $50 prosthetic legs are changing the world.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Finally, upon hearing that <a href="http://www.ottoscharmer.com/">Otto Scharmer</a> was visiting Amsterdam, I crashed the final minutes of the <a href="http://allevents.in/Amsterdam/Congres-Crossing-the-Tipping-Point-met-Otto-Scharmer/238695712849419">Crossing the Tipping Point</a> congress:</p>
<p><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/IMG_1861.jpg" alt="" title="Crossing the Tipping Point" width="600" height="400" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3029" /></p>
<p>I apologize to anybody that may have been upset that I didn&#8217;t register before stoping by (I wish I had known about the event sooner!), but I really enjoyed meeting all of you. <img src='http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<hr />
<p><strong>Coda</strong></p>
<p>Throughout Northern Europe, and, in particular, in the Netherlands, I sense a real push for creating educational reforms that will enable the countries to leapfrog beyond old industrial paradigms to 21st century innovation and knowmadic paradigms.  In these countries where education policies are so deeply rooted in the old Prussian tradition that aims to produce loyal factory workers and government bureaucrats, perhaps we can also find the greatest potential for meaningful change and leadership in developing <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/moravec/toward-society-30-a-new-paradigm-for-21st-century-education-presentation">Society 3.0</a>.</p>
<p>The stars seem to be aligning for this shift. And, when it happens, it will be big. The right people are connecting to bring new ideas to the table, and are generating new ways for generating positive futures.  For leading, facilitating, and hosting many of these conversations, I extend my greatest gratitude especially to Seats2Meet International, Ronald van den Hoff, Iris Meerts, Jooske Haije, and Edwin de Bree.  Thank you for making this happen!</p>
<p>(I&#8217;ll be back in January.)</p>
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		<title>Whose crazy idea is it anyway?</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/11/04/whose-crazy-idea-is-it-anyway/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/11/04/whose-crazy-idea-is-it-anyway/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Nov 2011 13:59:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Moravec</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Education 3.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovative Thinkers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[academic values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crazy idea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial mindset]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[higher education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Invisible Learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[knowledge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[talk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.educationfutures.com/?p=2998</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As the 21st century digital revolution continues to disrupt the economy, and the traditional knowledge claim held by experts of the 20th century is making way for a global entrepreneurial mindset, (university) education finds itself on the verge of its most radical transformations since the industrial revolution. <a href="http://www.whosecrazyidea.nl/">Whose Crazy Idea Is It Anyway</a> is an academic endeavor that has the ambition to set the agenda in the educational landscape of the coming decade.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As the 21st century digital revolution continues to disrupt the economy, and the traditional knowledge claim held by experts of the 20th century is making way for a global entrepreneurial mindset, (university) education finds itself on the verge of its most radical transformations since the industrial revolution. <a href="http://www.whosecrazyidea.nl/">Whose Crazy Idea Is It Anyway</a> is an academic endeavor that has the ambition to set the agenda in the educational landscape of the coming decade.</p>
<p>The work conference takes a specific angle to tackle the education issue: the (presumed) tension between entrepreneurial and academic values. Where do these values overlap and when do they contradict each other? What kinds of learning environments can start to emerge when both these worlds join forces? And how can these new learning networks be equipped to address urgent societal issues?</p>
<p>Following a &#8220;Yes &#8211; No &#8211; What the Fuck&#8221; intermission exercise facilitated by the <a href="http://www.knowmads.nl">Knowmads</a> business school in Amsterdam, I gave a keynote talk that centered on invisible learning, and how higher education can contribute toward building Knowmad Society.</p>
<div align="center"><iframe width="560" height="319" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Yj7aGlsa4Ro" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>
<p>Later, I chatted with <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Keen">Andrew Keen</a> on how we might foster entrepreneurship and expressions of innovation in higher education.  Unfortunately, the studio lighting couldn&#8217;t mask my jet lag and emerging head cold:</p>
<div align="center"><iframe width="560" height="319" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Hc1niiwjpio" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>
<p>Other interesting interviews:</p>
<p><em>Parag Khanna</em></p>
<div align="center"><iframe width="560" height="319" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/jP5ASEVWqWc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>
<p><em>Zoltan Acs</em></p>
<div align="center"><iframe width="560" height="319" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/9CtY4VK8fUM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>
<p><em>Thieu Besselink</em></p>
<div align="center"><iframe width="560" height="319" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Msgc3rGg1HQ" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>
<p><em>Hrobjartur Arnason</em></p>
<div align="center"><iframe width="560" height="319" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/-dA3tVS9yxo" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>
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		<title>Scale it sideways!</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/10/11/scale-it-sideways/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/10/11/scale-it-sideways/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Oct 2011 11:31:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Moravec</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[John Moravec]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Knowmad Society]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.educationfutures.com/?p=2986</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just as wise investors diversify their investment portfolio, so should we build diverse portfolios of our schools.  This means that we should not invest too heavily in any one strategy. If we do not know with any precision what the future will be, we cannot have one-size-fits-all schools.  We need to expand our ecologies of options.

<strong>FORGET SCALING UP.

WE NEED TO SCALE SIDEWAYS IN EDUCATION.</strong>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div align="center"><a href="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/4779106988_b9490200ae_o.jpg"><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/4779106988_b9490200ae_o.jpg" alt="" title="sideways lights" width="640" height="150" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2992" /></a></div>
<p>One of the key points we make in <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com">Invisible Learning</a> is that new technologies and new possibilities for social configurations are expanding the ecology of options we have for learning.  &#8220;Schooling&#8221; is no longer limited to just schools.  Rather, we can now learn in formal environments, online, informally, and serendipitously.  Moreover, we can leverage technologies to remix these modes together &#8212; so, for example, it is now possible to have a meaningful and recognized learning experience at coffee shops, city parks, bowling alleys, etc.</p>
<p>Just as wise investors diversify their investment portfolio, so should we build diverse portfolios of our schools.  This means that we should not invest too heavily in any one strategy. If we do not know with any precision what the future will be, we cannot have one-size-fits-all schools.  We need to expand our ecologies of options.</p>
<p>Many times we find something that works.  Perhaps a new pedagogical technique &#8230;or, maybe a new type of school. One of the first things we often ask ourselves when evaluating an innovation is: How do we scale it up?</p>
<p><strong>FORGET SCALING UP.</p>
<p>WE NEED TO SCALE SIDEWAYS IN EDUCATION.</strong></p>
<p>Scaling up is how we industrialize ideas, and employ them within a top-down managed system.  This works in an educational monoculture, but not in a diverse ecology.  Rather than industrializing our best ideas, why not share them horizontally? That is, let&#8217;s invite people and schools to adopt them if they work for them?</p>
<p>Scaling sideways invites co-creation.  It is dialogical.  </p>
<p>The question we need to ask is, how can we facilitate broader horizontalized communications and sharing of best practices, etc., between schools in a diverse ecology of options? Perhaps this means that top educational leaders, governments and other interest groups need to focus less on managing; and focus more on attending to the chaos and uncertainty of a more dynamic educational ecology.</p>
<p>And, let&#8217;s make sure to invite the kids into the horizontalized co-creation. We are all white belts when it comes to understanding and acting on our futures.  We do not have any role models to draw from.  We have never been to the future before.</p>
<p>We must engage kids in this conversation now. <a href="http://www.knowmadsociety.com">Knowmad Society</a> is their&#8217;s, but it is up to us to build it together.</p>
<hr />
<p><em>Note:</em> Adapted from my plenary talk at the <a href="http://www.onderwijsonderneemt.nl/conferentie/">Onderwijs en ondernemen &#8220;op expeditie&#8221;</a> conference in The Hague, Netherlands on October 6, 2011.</p>
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		<title>Bulgarian students dream about future schools</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/08/17/bulgarian-students-dream-about-future-schools/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/08/17/bulgarian-students-dream-about-future-schools/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Aug 2011 18:39:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Moravec</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[classroom]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Project Dream School]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.educationfutures.com/?p=2937</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As we <a href="http://www.educationfutures.com/2010/05/02/project-dream-school/">shared earlier</a>, <a href="http://projectdreamschool.org/">Project Dream School</a> started with a simple question: <em>If you could build a dream school, what would you do?</em>

This morning, I received some inspiring ideas. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As we <a href="http://www.educationfutures.com/2010/05/02/project-dream-school/">shared earlier</a>, <a href="http://projectdreamschool.org/">Project Dream School</a> started with a simple question: <em>If you could build a dream school, what would you do?</em></p>
<p>This morning, I received some inspiring ideas.  Elena Stateva writes,</p>
<blockquote><p>Dear Dr. Moravec,</p>
<p>I would like to share with the you the Dream Schools of my students. They worked on them as a project for their Philosophy in English class (grades 8-11). We are from Bulgaria, and we are part of a summer school program.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>And these dreams are inspiring: Robot teachers? No tests? Creativity and the development of individual identity?! Read on:</p>
<p><strong>PROJECT: “JUST A DREAM”</strong><br />
<strong>Creators</strong>: Radoslav Asparuhov (16), Daniel Rashin (18)</p>
<blockquote><p>Just a Dream is a school made of technologies, but not only about technology. It places a very high value on the potential of technology to transform the ways we see education. As full-fledged citizens of our dynamic modernity, students at Just a Dream are extensively trained how to use technology in the most innovative and effective way. For example, sculptures and other three-dimensional figures are created on computers, thus enabling students to develop their spatial and analytical intelligences. Top-notch technological innovations render the school one of the pioneers of knowmadic thinking.</p>
<p>Furthermore, Just a Dream gives students the crucial opportunity to have a practical go at their field. Relevant internships at successful companies are provided to each student, through a wide a range of sponsors. The sponsorship by highly acclaimed names in the business makes it possible for the students to go to school and use their modern facilities practically for free. In fact, these companies often recruit graduates from Just a Dream as the most prepared professionals.</p>
<p>In addition, Just a Dream is a school which recognizes extracurricular activities, within and outside the professional field, as essential to students’ academic and personal growth.  Therefore, school trips are regularly organized, featuring exciting destinations in the country and abroad.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>PROJECT: “MY DREAM SCHOOL”</strong><br />
<strong>Creators</strong>: Victoria Ivanova (17), Magdalena Kostadinova (15), Blagovest Pilarski (16)</p>
<blockquote><p>My Dream School is a unique institution, notable for its out-of-the-box, ground-breaking philosophy. Using a student-centered approach, which values what really is best for the student (and not for the administration, for example), My Dream School incorporates a wide range of fundamental practices. Combining the arts and technologies, students experience a comprehensive headstart to their professional careers. All subjects are taught in a way, which does not stifle student’s ideas, but on the contrary – encourages students to have their own opinion. Thus, My Dream School stimulates its student body to be active citizens, able to think critically about the world around them, instead of following blindly the leaders of today.</p>
<p>Moreover, My Dream School defines the term “revolutionary”, with its grade-less system and robotized teacher collective. Originating from the notion of boosting motivation internally (as opposed to externally, which is often the case), My Dream School has removed assessment completely, allowing its scholars to pursue knowledge itself, and not just good grades. The replacement of teachers by robots has further contributed to the establishment of an objective, knowledge- and skill-oriented classroom, free of discrimination and favoritism.  Thus, students can learn in a safe, conflict-free and thought- provoking environment.</p>
<p>In addition, My Dream School puts great emphasis on the connection between learning and nature. During the weekends, students can enjoy environmental activities, such as hiking in the mountains, which build up mind and body together. The beautiful parks surrounding the school are themselves a source of relaxation, inspiration and energy.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>PROJECT: “ART SCHOOL”</strong><br />
<strong>Creators</strong>: Elena Kehayova (15), Dafina Nedeva (15)</p>
<blockquote><p>The name of this school – Art School – already speaks a lot about its fundamental values. And yet, the Art School is much more than a school about art. It is a school where students go not only to grow in the direction of their talent, but where they actually find their talent and grow as a whole person. At Art School only the core subjects are obligatory – Literature, Math, Foreign Languages. The other subjects are a matter of preference: each student has the right to choose every part of their education. This freedom allows the students to explore their interests, inclinations and talents, to strengthen them or create them. Creativity – this is the key word which this school emanates through all its elements – from its facilities, to its curriculum, and of course – its teachers. The teaching collective is distinguished with its sharp eye to talent, broad mind for creativity and liberal view on individuality.</p>
<p>In addition to its exceptional creativity, Art School prides itself with a policy which preserves equality and prevents discrimination. Everybody at Art School is regarded equally, as an equal member of the school community.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Want more? Have a dream to share? Project Dream School invites you to submit your dreams online at <a href="http://projectdreamschool.org/">http://projectdreamschool.org/</a></p>
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		<title>Do it yourself &#8211; do it together</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/07/19/do-it-yourself-do-it-together/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/07/19/do-it-yourself-do-it-together/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Jul 2011 23:13:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Moravec</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Interviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collaboration]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Keimpe de Heer]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[video]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.educationfutures.com/?p=2854</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A couple weeks ago, I had an opportunity to visit the <a href="http://www.waag.org">Waag Society</a> in Amsterdam.  I visited with <a href="http://www.waag.org/persoon/keimpe">Keimpe de Heer</a>, director of the <a href="http://cllab.waag.org/">Creative Learning Lab</a>, which is focused on innovation in education. Paired with a <a href="http://fablab.waag.org/">Fab Lab</a>, they aim to develop the community they serve into producers of imaginative, creative and innovative outputs -- not just consumers.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A couple weeks ago, I had an opportunity to visit the <a href="http://www.waag.org">Waag Society</a> in Amsterdam.  I met with <a href="http://www.waag.org/persoon/keimpe">Keimpe de Heer</a>, director of the <a href="http://cllab.waag.org/">Creative Learning Lab</a>, and he is focused on innovating in human potential development and education. Paired with a <a href="http://fablab.waag.org/">Fab Lab</a>, they aim to develop the community they serve into <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prosumer">prosumers</a> of imaginative, creative and innovative outputs &#8212; not just consumers.</p>
<p>Watch the interview with Keimpe.  The first ten minutes discuss the Waag and the Creative Learning Lab.  The real fun starts at 10:48 into the video, where Keimpe challenges the &#8220;do it yourself&#8221; movement with &#8220;do it together&#8221; collaboration.  Using open source concepts, Keimpe explains how &#8220;we&#8221; can be better than &#8220;me.&#8221;  At 14:45, he shares some products bring developed at the Fab Lab, including a <del datetime="2011-07-20T11:56:59+00:00">$100</del> <strong>$50</strong> prosthetic leg and tank tread upgrades for wheel chairs.</p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="349" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/d5DlPa8KhP0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>This was my second visit to the Fab Lab in Amsterdam.  For a summary of my previous visit, and comparisons to the Fab Lab at Century College in Minnesota, <a href="http://www.educationfutures.com/2010/02/03/fab-lab-build-almost-anything/">click here</a>.</p>
<p><em><strong>July 20 update:</strong> Keimpe wrote to correct that the Fab Lab is working on a $50 prosthesis, not a $100 prosthesis. Even better!</em></p>
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		<title>Perspectives on Invisible Learning</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/05/12/perspectives-on-invisible-learning/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/05/12/perspectives-on-invisible-learning/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 May 2011 21:13:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Moravec</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[21st century]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Accelerating Change]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Invisible Learning]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.educationfutures.com/?p=2796</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By popular demand, here are the slides from my <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com">Invisible Learning</a> "stump lecture" from the past month...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By popular demand, here are the slides from my <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com">Invisible Learning</a> &#8220;stump lecture&#8221; from the past month:</p>
<div align="center">
<div style="width:425px" id="__ss_7876663"> <strong style="display:block;margin:12px 0 4px"><a href="http://www.slideshare.net/moravec/perspectives-on-invisible-learning" title="Perspectives on invisible learning">Perspectives on invisible learning</a></strong> <iframe src="http://www.slideshare.net/slideshow/embed_code/7876663" width="425" height="355" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no"></iframe></div>
</div>
<p>In an era of globalization and &#8220;flattening&#8221; of our relatiohships around the Earth, how can we learn better? What happened to learning as we moved from the stable structures of the 20th century to fluid and amorphic structures of the 21st century? What roles do schools and colleges play when you can learn in any context and at any time? Do we continue with formal learning or do we formalize informal learning?</p>
<p>This is an open invitation to explore some of the best ideas emerging around the planet that are contributing to a new ecology of learning.</p>
<p>More info: <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com">www.invisiblelearning.com</a></p>
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		<title>Invisible Learning released</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/04/28/invisible-learning-released/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/04/28/invisible-learning-released/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Apr 2011 11:53:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Moravec</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[21st century]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Cristóbal Cobo]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.educationfutures.com/?p=2777</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Cristóbal Cobo and I are pleased to announce that the Spanish edition of our new book, Invisible Learning (Aprendizaje Invisible), has just been released by the University of Barcelona (Col·lecció Transmedia XXI. Laboratori de Mitjans Interactius / Publicacions i Edicions de la Universitat de Barcelona). The e-book is available for purchase at the UB website [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Cristóbal Cobo and I are pleased to announce that the Spanish edition of our new book, <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com">Invisible Learning (Aprendizaje Invisible)</a>, has just been released by the University of Barcelona (Col·lecció Transmedia XXI. Laboratori de Mitjans Interactius / Publicacions i Edicions de la Universitat de Barcelona).  The e-book is <a href="http://futr.es/libro">available for purchase at the UB website</a> today. <del datetime="2011-05-15T22:43:44+00:00">The print edition will arrive in the coming months.</del> <strong>Update May 15, 2011: The print edition is <a href="http://futr.es/papel">now available for order at the UB website</a>.</strong></p>
<div align="center"><a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com"><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/IL_cover-210x300.png" alt="" title="Invisible Learning - book cover" width="210" height="300" /></a></div>
<p align="center"><strong><a href="http://futr.es/libro">TO DOWNLOAD THE BOOK, VISIT THE UNIVERSITY OF BARCELONA PRESS</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>Dialogue with the Cristóbal Cobo and John Moravec about Invisible Learning</strong></p>
<div align="center"><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="499" height="311" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/gN-TG2D9tfw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>
<p><strong>The Invisible Learning concept</strong></p>
<p>Our proposed invisible learning concept is the result of several years of research and work to integrate diverse perspectives on a <strong>new paradigm</strong> of learning and human capital development that is especially relevant in the context of the 21st century. This view takes into account the impact of technological advances and changes in formal, non-formal, and informal education, in addition to the &#8216;fuzzy&#8217; metaspaces in between. Within this approach, we explore a panorama of options for future development of education that is relevant today. Invisible Learning does not propose a theory, but rather establishes a metatheory capable of integrating different ideas and perspectives. This has been described as a protoparadigm, which is still in the &#8216;beta&#8217; stage of construction.</p>
<p><strong>Our conversation starts in Spanish</strong></p>
<p>We are pleased that the University of Barcelona approached us to publish the book, and they have the privilege to produce the first printed edition as well as the first electronic edition.  Moreover, with more native Spanish speakers in the United States than in Spain, we believe there is a legitimate market for a Spanish-language text throughout the Americas and Europe.</p>
<p>An English edition is in the works, and we hope to reward our patient English readers with the next release as a free ebook.  If you are interested in helping us produce this edition (i.e., direct assistance through translation support or other resources), please <a href="mailto:invisible@invisiblelearning.com">email us</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Presentations and workshops</strong></p>
<p>Yes, we love to talk!  If you are interested in organizing a presentation or workshop about Invisible Learning at your organization, please <a href="mailto:invisible@invisiblelearning.com">email us</a>.  Recordings of some of our previous talks are linked, below:</p>
<ul>
<li>March 7, 2011: <a href="http://vimeo.com/20813911" target="_blank">John Moravec at &#8220;The Invisible Learning Tour&#8221; at NHL Hogeschool, Leeurwarden, Netherlands</a></li>
<li>March 29, 2011: <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3PUU0AZK_oo&#038;feature=youtube_gdata_player" target="_blank">Cristóbal Cobo at Escuela de Organización Industrial, Madrid, Spain</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Continuing the conversation</strong></p>
<p>This book uses the hashtag <a href="http://search.twitter.com/search?q=%23invisi">#invisi</a> in Twitter. You can also follow us:</p>
<ul>
<li>Cristóbal Cobo: <a href="http://twitter.com/cristobalcobo">@cristobalcobo</a></li>
<li>John Moravec: <a href="http://twitter.com/moravec">@moravec</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>Cobo and Moravec discuss Invisible Learning</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/04/04/cobo-and-moravec-discuss-invisible-learning/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/04/04/cobo-and-moravec-discuss-invisible-learning/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Apr 2011 14:18:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Education Futures Editors</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[John Moravec and Crisóbal Cobo engage in a one-to-one dialogue on new dimensions for thinking about learning. In this conversation, they share some of the most important ideas developed in the book, <em>Aprendizaje Invisible</em> (Invisible Learning), to be released next week.  More information is available at <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com">www.invisiblelearning.com</a>.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John Moravec and <a href="http://ergonomic.wordpress.com">Cristóbal Cobo</a> engage in a one-on-one dialogue on new dimensions for thinking about learning. In this conversation, they share some of the most important ideas developed in the book, <em>Aprendizaje Invisible</em> (Invisible Learning), to be released next week.  More information is available at <a href="http://www.invisiblelearning.com">www.invisiblelearning.com</a>.</p>
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<p>(<em>Note</em>: Conversation alternates between Spanish and English.)<font style="position: absolute;overflow: hidden;height: 0;width: 0"><a href="http://www.ikoni.eu/">&#1050;&#1072;&#1088;&#1090;&#1080;&#1085;&#1080;</a></font></p>
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		<title>The Emerging and Future Roles of Academic Libraries</title>
		<link>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/03/28/the-emerging-and-future-roles-of-academic-libraries/</link>
		<comments>http://www.educationfutures.com/2011/03/28/the-emerging-and-future-roles-of-academic-libraries/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Mar 2011 18:14:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Zenke</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Libraries are actively reinventing themselves for the digital age.  Confronted with corrosive budgets, skyrocketing costs, and challenged by a fear of obsolesce resulting from the accelerating rate of technological change; libraries are struggling for their survival.  For the academic library &#8212; the “heart” of the modern research university &#8212; survival requires demonstrating their value in new ways, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Libraries are actively <a title="MIT Library in the 21st Century" href="http://techtv.mit.edu/collections/mitlibraries/videos/10837-reinventing-the-research-library-the-mit-libraries-in-the-21st-century" target="_blank">reinventing themselves</a> for the digital age.  Confronted with corrosive budgets, <a title="Library Inc." href="http://chronicle.com/article/Library-Inc/124915" target="_blank">skyrocketing costs</a>, and challenged by a <a title="One Step Closer to a National Digital Library" href="http://chronicle.com/blogs/wiredcampus/one-step-closer-to-a-national-digital-library/27491" target="_blank">fear of obsolesce</a> resulting from the <a title="Education Futures Accelerating Change" href="http://www.educationfutures.com/category/accelerating-change/" target="_blank">accelerating rate of technological change</a>; libraries are struggling for their <a title="Eroding Library Role?" href="http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2010/04/07/survey" target="_blank">survival</a>.  For the academic library &#8212; the “heart” of the modern research university &#8212; survival requires <a title="A Tool Kit to Help Academic Librarians Demonstrate Their Value" href="http://chronicle.com/article/A-Tool-Kit-to-Help-Academic/124391" target="_blank">demonstrating their value</a> in new ways, <a title="Eroding Library Role?" href="http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2010/06/09/hopkins" target="_blank">embedding themselves</a> deeper into the university’s core functions of teaching, learning, and research.  Although daunting, these challenges are nothing new for academic li-braries.</p>
<p>Within a generation, the signs of change are highly visible.  Gone are the card catalogues, monastic study corrals, and <a title="A Truly Bookless Library" href="http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2010/09/17/libraries" target="_blank">physical books</a> replaced by <a title="UMN SMART Learning Commons" href="https://wiki.umn.edu/SMART" target="_blank">media labs</a>, new expertise in strategic areas (teaching and learning, <a title="Searching For Better Research Habits" href="http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2010/09/29/search" target="_blank">information literacy</a>, copyright, data visualization, and media production), and <a title="Commons 2.0: Library Spaces Designed for Collaborative Learning" href="http://www.educause.edu/EDUCAUSE+Quarterly/EDUCAUSEQuarterlyMagazineVolum/Commons20LibrarySpacesDesigned/162265" target="_blank">professionally designed collaborative workspaces</a>.  The resonance of these changes has extended beyond the bookends of the library.  Just this week the <a title="SXSW 2011: The Year of the Librarian" href="http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2011/03/sxsw-2011-the-year-of-the-librarian/72548" target="_blank"><em>Atlantic Monthly</em> blog</a> crowned the 2011 <a title="SXSW" href="http://sxsw.com/" target="_blank">South by Southwest Festival</a> “The Year of the Librarian”.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Screen-shot-2011-03-28-at-12.35.55-PM.png"><img src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Screen-shot-2011-03-28-at-12.35.55-PM.png" alt="" width="641" height="288" /></a><br />
<em>Photo: <a title="library cards" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/dorywithserifs/161243417/">library cards</a> Creative Commons BY NC SA 2.0 dorywithserifs</em></p>
<p>Despite radical attempts to meet the changing needs of every generation of scholars critics have argued that the library &#8212; in its current form &#8212; may have outlived its purpose.  For some change at the library hasn’t come quickly enough.  A recent editorial in<a title="Academic Library Autopsy Report, 2050" href="http://chronicle.com/article/Academic-Library-Autopsy/125767" target="_blank"> <em>The Chronicle of Higher Education</em></a> codifies this position, accusing practitioners of being complicit &#8212; spending the last few decades rearranging the books in the Titanic library.  Sullivan, (2011) <a title="Academic Library Autopsy Report, 2050" href="http://chronicle.com/article/Academic-Library-Autopsy/125767" target="_blank">contends</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>“… it is entirely possible that the life of the academic library could have been spared if the last generation of librarians had spent more time <strong>plotting a realistic path to the future</strong> and less time <strong>chasing outdated trends</strong> while mindlessly <strong>spouting mantras</strong> like &#8220;There will always be books and libraries&#8221; and &#8220;People will always need librarians to show them how to use information.&#8221; We&#8217;ll never know now what kind of treatments might have worked. Librarians planted the seeds of their own destruction and are responsible for their own downfall”.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>I disagree.  There is ample evidence that library leaders have in earnest set their sights on the future &#8212; most notably, two of the largest American academic library professional organizations (<a title="ARL" href="http://www.arl.org/" target="_blank">The Association of Research Libraries</a> and the <a title="ACRL" href="http://www.ala.org/ala/mgrps/divs/acrl/index.cfm" target="_blank">Association of College and Research Libraries</a>), recently produced future oriented reports to catalyze support for the value of academic libraries, and to provide vision for the future.  In my mind, these reports capture the excitement of an institution in transition, and provide insights into the future of higher education as a whole.</p>
<p><strong>Futures Research</strong><br />
<strong> </strong>The <a title="ARL 2030 Scenarios: A User's Guide for Research Libraries" href="http://www.arl.org/rtl/plan/scenarios/usersguide/index.shtml" target="_blank">first report</a>, from the Association of Research Libraries (ARL), a nonprofit professional organization which represents 126 of the largest college and university research libraries in the United States and Canada, created the ARL 2030 Scenarios project to address their strategic focus:</p>
<blockquote><p>“How do we transform our organization(s) to create differential value for future users (individuals, institutions, and beyond), given the external dynamics redefining the research environment over the next 20 years?</p>
</blockquote>
<p>ARL members were invited to participate in individual interviews, focus groups, and a survey.  Key stakeholders from within and outside the academic library community codified the results into four distinct scenarios.  The results were intentionally distributed inside of a user’s guide to ensure that the scenarios were packaged with an accompanying template for utilizing the scenarios at academic libraries as part of their strategic planning process.</p>
<p><em>Scenario 1: Research Entrepreneurs</em><br />
In this future “individual researchers are the stars of the story”.  Academic institutions and disciplinary silos are no longer relevant for entrepreneurial researchers who chase short-to-long term contract work from private and public sources.</p>
<p><em>Scenario 2: Reuse and Recycle</em><br />
Scenario 2 outlines a world defined by an “ongoing scarcity of economic resources” which forces the reuse and recycling of research activities, with virtually no public support for research.  Academic institutions persist, but have little to offer scholars.</p>
<p><em>Scenario 3: Disciplines in Charge</em><br />
Utilizing advances in information technology “computational approaches to data analysis dominates the research enterprise”, fostering massive research projects aligned around “data-stores”.  Two classes of researchers emerge: those who “control the disciplinary organization and their research infrastructure” and everyone else who “scramble to pick up the piecework”.</p>
<p><em>Scenario 4: Global Followers</em><br />
As funding forces dry up in the West academic power shifts to the Middle East and Asia.  Scholars continue to do their research but with new cultural influences from Middle Eastern and Asian funding agencies.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/arl.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-2730" src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/arl.jpg" alt="ARL Scenario Space" width="724" height="568" /></a><br />
<em>Figure 1: ARL Scenario Space, Creative Commons BY NC ND</em></p>
<p><a title="Libraries Are Showing the Way for Everyone" href="http://blogs.forbes.com/adamgordon/2010/10/22/how-libraries-thinking-about-their-future-provides-a-resource-for-decision-makers-in-every-industry/" target="_blank">The real strength</a> of ARL’s scenarios is the <a title="The ARL 2030 Scenario Set Released with User’s Guide" href="http://www.arl.org/news/pr/scenariosguide19oct10.shtml" target="_blank">user guide toolkit</a>.  <a title="Wikipedia - Scenario planning " href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scenario_planning" target="_blank">Scenario planning</a> &#8212; and futures research in general &#8212; is often criticized for being too empyreal.  ARL addresses this criticism head-on featuring six chapters dedicated to implementing of the scenarios within an academic library.  Also, as part of an ongoing process towards validating and refining each scenario articles, studies, and reports are being collected and coded as they pertain to each of the 4 possible futures.</p>
<p><a title="ACRL" href="http://www.ala.org/ala/mgrps/divs/acrl/index.cfm" target="_blank">The Association of College and Research Libraries</a> (ACRL), another leader in the academic library world, also recently completed a<a title="Futures Thinking for Academic Librarians" href="http://www.acrl.ala.org/acrlinsider/archives/2161" target="_blank"> future oriented study</a> presenting 26 possible scenarios for 2025.  ACRL is the largest division of the <a title="ALA" href="http://www.ala.org/" target="_blank">American Library Association</a> (ALA) with over 12,000 members worldwide.</p>
<p>Research for this study began with an intensive two-month review of quantitative and qualitative literature related to how academic libraries demonstrate their value.  ACRL staff then combined the results into 26 possible scenarios.  ACRL members were surveyed on the probability of each scenario occurring, the impact of each scenario, the speed at which the scenario might unfold, and whether the scenario reflects a threat or opportunity to academic libraries.  The survey results were then visually displayed on a problem space with a number corresponding to each scenario, with green numbers representing opportunities for academic libraries, and red signaling threats (Figure 2).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/acrl.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-2731" src="http://www.educationfutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/acrl.jpg" alt="ACRL Scenario Space" width="724" height="657" /></a><br />
<em>Figure 2: ACRL Scenario Space, Creative Commons NC SA</em></p>
<p>The <a title="The Librarian's Crystal Ball" href="http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2010/06/23/futures" target="_blank">survey results</a> concluded nine of the scenarios were highly probable and impactful including: “breaking the textbook monopoly”, “bridging the scholar/practitioners divide”, “everyone is a ‘non-traditional’ student”, “I see what you see” [advancements in IT make collaboration with users easier], “increasing threats of cyberwar, cybercrime, and cyberterrorism”, “meet the new freshman” [librarians help non-traditional student cross the digital divide], “right here with me” [advances in mobile technology for research and publication], “scholarship stultifies”, and “this class brought to you by…” [increased corporate sponsorships of courses and research].</p>
<p>The combined 30 scenarios presented by ARL and ACRL describe the potentially hostile, but promising world for academic libraries in the next 20 years.  The three most common themes throughout all of the scenarios: the impact of technology, the changing informational and infrastructural needs of their users, and the challenges to creating novel funding sources to combat acute budget shortfalls present real opportunities for leadership on the part of library administrators.</p>
<p>Although some have criticized these first attempts at futures research as a waste of time, I argue these reports have been successful because they have forced the debate about the future of the academic library to the forefront of the profession.  Certainly futures research cannot predict the future, however these scenarios provide academic libraries a chance to both strategize for what is most likely to happen, while advocating from an informed position for their most desirable future.</p>
<p><strong>References</strong><br />
Association Research Libraries. (2010). <em>The ARL 2030 Scenarios: A User?s Guide for Research Libraries</em>. Washington, DC. Retrieved from http://www.arl.org/bm~doc/arl-2030-scenarios-users-guide.pdf/.</p>
<p>Connelly, P. (2011). SXSW 2011: The Year of the Librarian. <em>Atlantic Monthly</em>. Retrieved from http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2011/03/sxsw-2011-the-year-of-the-librarian/72548.</p>
<p>Staley, D. J., &amp; Malenfant, K. J. (2010). <em>Futures Thinking For Academic Librarians: Higher Education in 2025</em>. Retrieved from http://www.ala.org/ala/mgrps/divs/acrl/issues/value/futures2025.pdf.</p>
<p>Sullivan, B. T. (2011). Academic Library Autopsy Report, 2050. <em>Chronicle of Higher Education</em>. Retrieved from http://chronicle.com/article/Academic-Library-Autopsy/125767/.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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