Four futures for China Inc.

My interest in China is booming. I will travel to China in April for a teacher education conference sponsored by the Ministry of Education and several international organizations. I will present a workshop on leapfrogging in teacher education to build globally-competent and competitive human capital –particularly among youth. It appears they’re taking leapfrogging seriously. China is determined to become the world’s dominant economic power, and it is aggressively pursuing policies to meet that goal.

James Kynge believes China will “shake the world,” but others disagree. Is China on the verge of becoming the dominant world power, or will its bubble of development burst due to inherent defects in its social, economic and political structures?

By Internet standards, this article is a bit dated, but it is still a good read. Global Business Network posts a reprint of a Business 2.0 article on Four Futures for China Inc. Doug Randall and Jesse Goldhammer propose four scenarios for the future of China:

In “Emperor of Business,” China grows peacefully and plays by the rules, while in “Emperor’s New Clothes,” China’s growth rate is short-lived and it basically becomes a bigger Brazil. In “Emperor of Asia,” China grows only as fast as its neighbors; by contrast, in “Emperor of the World,” China’s speedy growth tips all the scales in its favor.

Read the full article…

Post to Twitter Post to Facebook

Comments


About

Dr. John Moravec is a faculty member in the Department of Organizational Leadership, Policy, and Development and the Innovation Studies/Master of Liberal Studies graduate programs at the University of Minnesota. He is the principal of Education Futures LLC; a co-founder of the Horizon Forum, a roundtable on the future of education at all levels; and is the editor of Education Futures. He can be emailed at john@educationfutures.com.

http://www.educationfutures.com/john

Tags: , ,

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.


Related posts

China’s great leapfrog forward?

Yesterday’s New York Times Sunday Magazine had an article on educational reform in China. Whereas the United States is moving toward an educational model that displays characteristics of traditional Chinese education (especially an emphasis on testing), the Chinese are moving toward an educational model that is, in their view, more Western. This means integrating liberal [...]


The futures of the state fair

Time for shameless self-promotion! The StarTribune is running an article on the future of the Minnesota State Fair, which contains input from Arthur Harkins and myself. From the article: “The State Fair has traditionally been a showcase, but in the future, we see it becoming much more of a collaborative, idea- and product-generating place,” said [...]


Inside Higher Ed: Time for US to wake up

Inside Higher Ed has an article on the decrease of political and financial support for American education relative to global competitors. Citing research by John A. Douglass at UC Berkeley, the article states: Douglass says that other nations are using government policy to match or exceed U.S. participation rates and to more fully integrate higher [...]


Aim higher!

The Minnesota Daily published an article on the “Leapfrog University” memo distributed by Arthur Harkins and myself.  Marni Ginther writes: Harkins and Moravec argue research and innovation must begin soon and must begin at the undergraduate level. This would involve a huge shift in the way the University – and universities across the country – [...]


NewScientist: China and India ‘hold the world in balance’

NewScientist reports: Development giants China and India “hold the world in balance”, says a new report by a US environmental think tank. “The choices these two countries make in the next few years will lead the world either towards growing ecological and political instability – or down a development path based on efficiency and better [...]


About

Education Futures explores a New Paradigm in human capital development, fueled by globalization, the rise of innovative knowledge societies, and driven by exponential, accelerating change. Education Futures is owned and published by Education Futures LLC.